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Stovalozzi’s Weekly College Football Picks

It’s now the getting deeper into the college football season and for the year so far I have been picking 65% or better consistently. This is based off of the line of course because if I was just purely picking the winner I would be at about 90%. So here we go, another week in college football and here are my picks for this weekend.

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Auburn -14
South Carolina +14

This is almost too easy. Auburn is playing a South Carolina team that has proven to be unreliable all year. By beating a no name school like Wofford by only 7 points earlier, not to mention allowing them to score 20 points is an outrage. Meanwhile, Auburn has a great defense and a strong running game. This will be an Auburn blowout and a statement that they are rightfully the number 2 team in the nation.

Rutgers -4
South Florida +4

Rutgers will cover hands down and this is one of the most solid picks of the week. The Rutgers are now ranked in the top twenty five and are undefeated while South Florida only put up 7 points against a mediocre Kansas team last week. Go with Rutgers on this.

Northwestern +18
Penn State -18

This is a tough pick. Penn State hasn’t been very impressive this year and neither has Northwestern. Personally I would stay away from this one unless you plan on teasing it, then go for the over with Northwestern because I really don’t think that Penn State has the goods to blow them out.

Kansas +21.5
Nebraska -21.5

Sure Nebraska hasn’t played anyone except for USC this year, but they have been looking very impressive. Do not underestimate this Nebraska offense. They are coming into this conference game with a lot of confidence against a Kansas team that has just looked pitiful. Do not let the 3-1 record fool you, they only won by two against La Monroe and by 6 against S. Florida. That is not what you would expect from a Big 12 school but let’s face it; they aren’t any good. Go with Nebraska to cover.

Wisconsin -11
Indiana +11

Even though Indiana has the home field advantage, I expect Wisconsin to go in there and run the ball down their throats. Indiana has played poorly all year against mediocre teams. Indiana is coming off of home field losses to S. Illinois and Connecticut. Wisconsin will cover and some.

Illinois +26
Michigan State -26

One thing is for sure, Michigan State will have no problem scoring in this contest. Illinois was blown out and shut out earlier this year versus Rutgers, which leads me to believe that Michigan State could do the same. But since the line is so heavy I would advise a pass on this one but if you do need a pick then go with Michigan State.

Houston +16.5
Miami -16.5

Miami has been slumping this year but then again, they have had a fairly tough schedule. Holding Florida State to 13 points is impressive but being blown out by Louisville isn’t. Houston however has been up and down. They had a big win over Oklahoma State last week but Oklahoma State is no Miami. Miami has speed on defense, a kind of speed that Houston hasn’t seen yet. So I would definitely go with Miami covering this one.

Toledo +14
Pittsburgh -14

Toledo has the ability to put up big numbers, but then again so does Pittsburgh. Pitt quarterback Tyler Palko has been on fire this year, already with over 1,100 yards. I don’t see Toledo having the answer and since they play at Pitt, I have to go with the home team in this one.

Virginia -5.5
Duke +5.5

In three games this year, Duke has scored 13 points. That is pretty bad. Meanwhile is 1-4 but their schedule has been tougher then expected. I give the edge to Virginia.

Wyoming +5
Syracuse -5

This is Syracuse all the way. They have the home field advantage and they just flat out of Wyoming’s league. A 5 point spread is a gift.

Purdue +14
Notre Dame -14

Notre Dame clearly has no defense. But then again, neither does Purdue. So far in four games this year, Purdue has allowed 20+ points in every game. Since Purdue is playing at Notre Dame, one would think that this would be all Notre Dame. The truth is that Purdue is 4-0 this year and Notre Dame cannot seem to stay consistent. I say Purdue covers the plus this week and we may even see an upset.

Kansas State +1.5
Baylor -1.5

This is an odd spread since Kansas State’s only loss was against a high powered Louisville last weekend. Baylor on the other hand is riding a two game losing streak and after four games, still has yet to produce a back with over 100 yards on the season. K. State wins it outright, let alone covering the spread.

Boise State +3.5
Utah -3.5

Again I have to go with the underdog on this game. Boise State has done everything right so far and is proving that they deserve some credit. Utah is a tough team, but I stand by Boise St. on this one.

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